Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.018657 0.020464 0.022285 0.024253 0.026317 0.028412 0.030697
2025-07-20 0.015012 0.017812 0.020752 0.024049 0.027626 0.031370 0.035569
2025-07-27 0.012772 0.016107 0.019721 0.023883 0.028504 0.033439 0.039073
2025-08-03 0.011641 0.015432 0.019642 0.024591 0.030180 0.036237 0.043238
2025-08-10 0.010172 0.014211 0.018813 0.024334 0.030676 0.037641 0.045788
2025-08-17 0.008904 0.013107 0.018018 0.024023 0.031026 0.038814 0.048016
2025-08-24 0.007877 0.012204 0.017383 0.023830 0.031453 0.040023 0.050240
2025-08-31 0.006948 0.011346 0.016740 0.023570 0.031754 0.041050 0.052222
2025-09-07 0.006203 0.010664 0.016262 0.023466 0.032203 0.042217 0.054340
2025-09-14 0.005375 0.009805 0.015512 0.022985 0.032165 0.042788 0.055746
2025-09-21 0.004629 0.008996 0.014775 0.022479 0.032063 0.043256 0.057008
2025-09-28 0.003865 0.008092 0.013864 0.021708 0.031602 0.043269 0.057713
2025-10-05 0.003502 0.007788 0.013785 0.022059 0.032600 0.045123 0.060709
2025-10-12 0.002975 0.007193 0.013294 0.021875 0.032951 0.046227 0.062864
2025-10-19 0.002523 0.006660 0.012848 0.021718 0.033308 0.047319 0.064988
2025-10-26 0.002353 0.006577 0.013030 0.022388 0.034707 0.049674 0.068619
2025-11-02 0.001964 0.006064 0.012554 0.022145 0.034922 0.050570 0.070491
2025-11-09 0.001612 0.005562 0.012059 0.021850 0.035049 0.051341 0.072201
2025-11-16 0.001330 0.005145 0.011663 0.021667 0.035304 0.052258 0.074079
2025-11-23 0.001072 0.004728 0.011237 0.021421 0.035460 0.053040 0.075781
2025-11-30 0.000874 0.004399 0.010928 0.021323 0.035798 0.054041 0.077746
2025-12-07 0.000652 0.003952 0.010388 0.020867 0.035641 0.054404 0.078918
2025-12-14 0.000466 0.003527 0.009851 0.020388 0.035433 0.054689 0.079982